International air travel will amount to less than half of 2019 levels next year, Iata chief executive Willie Walsh has predicted.
Walsh predicted domestic markets would recover next year to be almost at a level they were at in 2019, however international travel will lag “at just 44%” of 2019 levels where there were no restrictions.
Speaking at the Arab Air Carriers’ Organisation AGM in Doha, Walsh said domestic markets were expected to reach nearly 75% of pre-crisis levels by the end of this year, “but unfortunately international travel - where we see travel restrictions continuing - is only expected to reach 22%”.
Covid’s total impact on the airline industry will be in excess of $200 billion, he said, with the world’s airlines losing $138 billion last year.
“Losses will reduce to $52 billion this year. And we expect a further reduction to a $12 billion loss in 2022. Add that up and the toll that Covid-19 will take on industry finances tops $201 billion.”
Walsh added the outlook was more optimistic: “We are, however, past the worst point. We are moving in the right direction, if not as fast as we would like to go.”
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